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Canada's economic growth unchanged in July, August likely to expand 0.2%

  • On Tuesday, Statistics Canada reported that Canada's economy remained flat in July, matching expectations after three straight months of solid growth earlier in the quarter.
  • Petroleum refineries declined 6.2% in July, though utilities and construction sectors grew by 1.7% and 1.3% respectively, offsetting most of the sectoral contraction.
  • StatCan estimates a 0.2% expansion for August, though Bank of Canada governor Tiff Macklem warned last week that new United States tariffs could slash fourth-quarter growth to below 1%.
  • CIBC senior economist Andrew Grantham noted the report reflects activity prior to recent United States trade escalations, making upcoming employment and CPI data more critical for future decisions.
  • Servus Credit Union chief economist Charles St-Arnaud expects weaker growth starting in September amid trade war escalation, while money markets price in about 50% odds for an October rate hike.
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Reuters broke the news in London, United Kingdom on Tuesday, September 29, 2026.
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