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Does California Have only Six Weeks of Gasoline Left? Here's a Fact Check
Officials said California’s six-week forecast window reflects limited visibility, not an imminent shortage, and gasoline inventories remain within historical range.
On May 5, California Energy Commission member Siva Gunda clarified that a six-week supply forecast does not signal reserves will hit zero, refuting viral claims of an imminent energy shortage.
Niki Woodard, a California Energy Commission spokesperson, explained the six-week window is a 'constantly rolling' period analogous to weather forecasts, which become unreliable more than 10 days out.
Already, a gallon of gasoline in California costs $6.17, well above the $4.56 national average according to the Automobile Association of America, with about 40% sourced in-state or Alaska.
Foreign oil from Iraq, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates accounted for about 29% of imports in 2025, creating vulnerabilities if Iran-related blockages restrict shipping lanes.
University of California-Berkeley professor Severin Borenstein and Rice University fellow Skip York cautioned against misinterpreting the data, confirming inventory remains sufficient for demand under normal operating conditions.