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Fed’s preferred inflation gauge shows core prices rose 3.3% annually in July

  • The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported Wednesday that core personal consumption expenditures inflation remained unchanged at 3.3% in July, matching June's pace and staying above the Federal Reserve's 2% target.
  • Inflation has worsened since the Iran war began in late February when it stood at 2.9%, and during the Federal Open Market Committee's July meeting, "many" participants indicated interest rate hikes would "likely be necessary if inflation did not decline."
  • Headline PCE rose 3.7% in July, notably above the 2% target, while markets priced in a 72.7% probability of interest rate hikes by December according to CME Group's FedWatch data.
  • Some Fed officials remain divided on whether to hold rates steady or raise them to combat inflation, though some view the 0.2% monthly core inflation as a reassuring sign toward the 2% target.
  • Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh will deliver a high-profile speech on Friday at the central bank's annual symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, with Wall Street closely watching for signals on future interest rate steps.
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At around 1400 GMT the Dow Jones was down 0.01%, the Nasdaq was up 0.08% and the expanded S&P 500 index was up 0.10%. The US government did not change its estimate for the second quarter's gross domestic product (GDP) on Wednesday, still expected to grow 1.5% at an annualized rate. At the same time, the country did not see any progress in inflation last month according to the PCE index which stagnates at a high level (3.7% as in June). Analysts …

·Issy-les-Moulineaux, France
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Action Forex broke the news on Wednesday, August 26, 2026.
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