Bond Markets Make Poor World Cup Predictors but Still Tell a Good Story

BUSINESS: THE ECONOMIC IMPACT OF THE 2026 WORLD CUP

FIU News had predicted it: the economic impact of the 2026 FIFA World Cup in Miami will likely extend far beyond hotel rooms, restaurant bills, and the gates of Hard Rock Stadium. Although the exact figures for the economic impact of the World Cup in Miami last June and July are not yet known, the FIU (Florida International University) news network appears to have been spot on with its predictions. In fact, FIFA officials estimate that the match…

Bond markets make poor World Cup predictors but still tell a good story

Sovereign bond markets proved a poor guide to the outcome of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, but a light-hearted review of Rathbones Asset Management’s prediction model still revealed some striking parallels between football results and the economic stories investors have been watching. While the model missed the final four, the tournament’s biggest stories still reflected many of the same themes fixed income investors have been monitoring over recent …