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Oil Shock Lifts EIA Price Outlook as Hormuz Crisis Reshapes Forecast

The U.S. Energy Information Administration forecasts Brent crude averaging $79 per barrel in 2026, with U.S. production rising by 500,000 barrels per day amid Strait of Hormuz disruptions.

  • The U.S. Energy Information Administration sharply revised its Short‑Term Energy Outlook, raising Brent crude to $79 per barrel and U.S. crude output to 13.6 million barrels per day in 2026 and 13.8 million in 2027.
  • After strikes and naval actions near the Strait of Hormuz, the U.S. military said it attacked 16 Iranian mine-laying vessels, disrupting tanker traffic and shifting global oil balances.
  • Market observers noted extreme intraday swings as Brent crude plunged below $80, then rebounded near $90 after US Secretary of Energy Chris Wright's deleted post, and fell again on IEA reserve release reports.
  • With storage filling and shipments constrained, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Kuwait, and Iraq cut oil production, while the IMF links a 10% price rise to 0.4% inflation and 0.15% growth reduction, and U.S. petroleum prices rose about 17%.
  • Assuming shipments gradually resume, the EIA expects the Strait of Hormuz to keep constraining regional production in the coming weeks, with Brent projected to average $64 in 2027, up from $53.
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Manus on Markets: Oil shock looms as Hormuz crisis deepens

·Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates (the)
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In just one week since the US and Israel attacked Iran, crude oil prices surpassed $100 per barrel, and the Strait of Hormuz was virtually paralyzed.

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Oil Price broke the news in London, United Kingdom on Tuesday, March 10, 2026.
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