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China’s August retail sales miss forecast while investment slump deepens, piling pressure on Beijing
Retail sales rose just 0.4% in August, while urban fixed-asset investment fell 7.2% in the first eight months, National Bureau of Statistics data showed.
China's National Bureau of Statistics reported a mixed August, as industrial output rose 5.2% while retail sales growth slowed to 0.4% year-on-year. The data reveals a deepening investment slump and persistent economic pressure.
Urban fixed-asset investment shrank 7.2% for the year's first eight months, steepening from a 6.7% decline earlier. Credit expansion missed forecasts sharply, with new bank loans totaling just 60 billion yuan versus roughly 400 billion yuan expected.
Acknowledging an "acute" imbalance between "strong supply and weak demand," the NBS noted that businesses continue to face operational difficulties. Outstanding loan growth hit a record-low 4.9%, highlighting failed stimulus efforts.
Labour-Market conditions softened as the urban unemployment rate ticked up to 5.3% in August from 5.2% in July. Raymond Yeung, ANZ Research economist, said "September could represent an important policy window to revive business confidence ahead of October's Golden Week holidays."
Policymakers have so far favoured incremental measures over aggressive stimulus to address these challenges. Analysts argue more fiscal support is necessary to shore up growth, though officials maintain a cautious macro-policy stance.