Brazil's Lula widens first-round lead; runoff with Bolsonaro stays tight, BTG/Nexus poll shows
- On Monday, a BTG Pactual/Nexus poll showed Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula leading the first-round election with 42% of the vote, while remaining statistically tied with Senator Flavio Bolsonaro in a simulated runoff.
- The leftist incumbent widened his lead from a previous survey that had him at 40% to Bolsonaro's 37%, though a September 21 poll showed a tighter 46% to 45% runoff margin.
- Nexus surveyed 2,000 people between September 25 and 27, yielding a margin of error of 2 percentage points. Augusto Cury and Ronaldo Caiado each polled at 5%, while Renan Santos held 4%.
- If no candidate secures more than 50% of valid votes in the October 4 first round, the two frontrunners will advance to a runoff election scheduled for October 25.
- Lula's narrow runoff lead of 46% to 44% remains within the survey's margin of error, underscoring the competitive nature of Brazil's election ahead of next month's voting.
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32 Articles
With the ban on betting, improvements in the Bolsa Familia plan and other initiatives of strong popular support such as the double weekly franc, it achieved a breakthrough in the polls.But the numbers released on Monday, while showing these changes, clarify that they are not enough to break the parity that would be defined in the balloting.
Brazil's Lula widens first-round lead, remains tied with Bolsonaro in runoff polls
SAO PAULO, Sept 28 - Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and Senator Flavio Bolsonaro remain statistically tied in a simulated runoff ahead of next month's election, while the leftist incumbent widened his lead in the first round, two polls showed on Monday. Read more at straitstimes.com.
After a 2022 with reduced electoral alienation, a term given for the sum of the abstention with the votes in blank or null, this year's dispute makes analysts come up with the possibility of a higher percentage of non-vote, which is also on the radar of the candidatures in the final week before the first round. The scenario is based on data such as the rejection of more than 50% Lula (PT) and Flávio Bolsonaro (PL), the two main candidates, and o…
The president has five points of advantage for the opponent of extreme right, according to the uprising
Nexus's national research released on Monday (28) records the maintenance of a technical tie, on the margin of error, between President Lula (PT) and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL), in the scenario of the presidential dispute that simulates a 2nd round fight. The petist records 46% of the voting intentions, against 44% of the candidate
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- 60% of the sources lean Right
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