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Brazil's Lula and Flavio Bolsonaro Locked in Tight Race as Vote Nears

  • On Tuesday, an AtlasIntel/Bloomberg poll showed Senator Flavio Bolsonaro and Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva statistically tied in a simulated runoff, with Bolsonaro at 47.7% and Lula at 47.6%.
  • In a first-round scenario, the poll indicates Lula would receive 45.3% of voter support, followed by Bolsonaro at 42.2%, Renan Santos with 5.2%, and Augusto Cury with 2%.
  • A September 23 poll had Lula leading the senator 47.7% to 47.4%, while earlier data showed Lula at 45.8% and Bolsonaro at 43.4% in the first round.
  • If no candidate secures more than 50% of valid votes in the October 4 election, the two frontrunners will advance to a runoff on October 25.
  • Lula continues his reelection campaign for the Workers' Party, speaking during a rally in Belem, Brazil, on Monday.
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The son of Jair Bolsonaro appears with a numerical advantage of 0.1 percentage point, according to the survey

·São Paulo, Brazil
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Brazil enters the final stretch, with Lula and Bolsonaro in technical tie Brazil entered the final stretch of the presidential election campaign with an open dispute between Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro. A few days after the first round, scheduled for next Sunday, October 4, the president retains a [...] The entry <font color="#0ac600">Brazil</font> Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro arrive at the final stretch of the presidential camp…

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Search AtlasIntel/Bloomberg shows president ahead in the first round, while Flávio Bolsonaro appears at 3.1 points; in any second round, difference falls to 0.1 percentage point The post Lula has 45.3% and Flávio Bolsonaro 42.2% in the first round, points AtlasIntel apareceu primeiro em Jornal Option.

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The News & Observer broke the news in Raleigh, United States on Tuesday, September 29, 2026.
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