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Bond Yields, AI Spending Threaten US Stocks

The S&P 500 is up nearly 13% this year, but analysts say rising yields and heavy AI capital spending could slow gains.

  • France remains at the epicenter of Europe's fiscal concerns, setting the price to place its debt following a budget proposal that failed to quell investor anxiety over rising borrowing costs.
  • Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields hit 5.34% on Thursday, their highest level in 24 years, as Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent acknowledged rising US Treasury yields align with global trends. Elevated fuel prices from the Iran war and surging AI spending continue pushing borrowing costs higher.
  • Markets face a busy end of 2026, with investors eyeing third-quarter earnings and potential capex revisions from AI hyperscalers. Nelson Yu, head of equities at AllianceBernstein, noted "the number one thing to watch for is capex revisions from the hyperscalers."
  • Chuck Carlson, chief executive officer at Horizon Investment Services, described the interest rate story as "the biggest headwind" for investors. Markets anticipate the Federal Reserve will pause hiking rates at its meeting later this month following weaker jobs data.
  • Fourth quarters of midterm years have historically seen average gains of 6.4%, despite the looming November 3 midterm elections creating uncertainty. Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA, noted stocks often "benefit from the lifting of election uncertainty" during this period.
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Rising U.S. long-term interest rates have created global turmoil in the financial services industry. However, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is playing down the implications.

·Stockholm, Sweden
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L'AGEFI broke the news on Thursday, October 1, 2026.
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