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Bank of England to Keep Rates on Hold While It Gauges Impact of Iran War

Policymakers will test downside cases for growth and inflation as markets see the Bank keeping borrowing costs at 3.75% on Thursday.

  • On Thursday, the Monetary Policy Committee is widely predicted to keep the Bank Rate on hold at 3.75% as policymakers await further clarity on the Middle Eastern conflict.
  • The ongoing conflict with Iran has disrupted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, pushing up oil prices and forcing the Bank to reassess its economic forecasts for 2026 and 2027.
  • With inflation at 3.3%, well above the 2% target, the central bank will model various energy price scenarios to determine potential second-round effects on the economy.
  • Mortgage rates have recently dipped, offering respite to borrowers, but finance expert Rachel Springall of Moneyfacts warns that limited market stability leaves little scope for lenders to drop rates substantially further.
  • While financial markets price in two quarter-point rate increases this year, senior economist Edward Allenby expects the Bank Rate to remain steady as policymakers prioritize caution amid economic downturn signals.
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Financial Post broke the news in Canada on Monday, April 27, 2026.
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