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Mariners vs. Blue Jays: ALCS Game 3 Odds, Prediction and HR Prop Probabilities

Toronto Blue Jays, down 0-2 in the ALCS, start Shane Bieber to try to avoid elimination against Seattle Mariners, who hold a 53-31 home record this season.

  • On Wednesday at T‑Mobile Park, Game 3 starts at 8:08 p.m. ET with right-handed pitcher Shane Bieber starting for the Toronto Blue Jays as Seattle aims for a 3-0 series lead.
  • Because Toronto's offense has faltered on the road, Seattle's 10-3 Game 2 win and 41-42 road record helped tilt the series toward Seattle.
  • Betting markets show Seattle favored and the total at seven runs, with Dimers projecting a 56% chance of Mariners winning and George Kirby on the mound.
  • A Mariners win would inch them toward their first-ever World Series, as Toronto seeks its first since 1992 and 1993, with Seattle leading 2-0.
  • SportsLine projects 8.2 combined runs tonight, our top pick is Over seven total runs , and Dimers simulations rate the Over at 64.9% probability.
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Bias Distribution

  • 63% of the sources lean Left
63% Left

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Sports Chat Place broke the news in on Wednesday, October 15, 2025.
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