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Hochul Leads Blakeman by 13 Points in Siena Poll

The Siena College survey shows Hochul’s lead has fallen from 20 points in February as independents shift toward Blakeman.

  • On Tuesday, the Siena Research Institute released a poll showing Governor Kathy Hochul leading Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman 47%-34%, a 13-point advantage narrowed from the 20-point gap reported in February.
  • While Hochul maintains structural advantages including a 2-to-1 Democratic registration edge, her lead has eroded by half over three months as the race tightens significantly.
  • Independent voters now favor Blakeman by seven points, reversing their earlier five-point support for Hochul, while her once-commanding 46-point New York City lead has collapsed to 29 points.
  • Blakeman claimed his campaign is "closing the gap at lightning speed," while Hochul campaign spokesperson Ryan Radulovack denounced the Republican as a "six-time loser" offering "higher prices, Medicaid cuts."
  • Prediction markets give Hochul a 91-93% chance of winning this year's race, though the narrowing lead suggests vulnerability as 64% of voters remain unfamiliar with Blakeman's candidacy.
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Bias Distribution

  • 64% of the sources are Center
64% Center

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WNYW broke the news in San Francisco, United States on Tuesday, March 31, 2026.
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