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Minister Rejects Blair’s Triple Lock Warning as Ex-PM Calls for ‘Coherent Plan’

Blair said Labour lacks a coherent plan and warned welfare spending could outpace defence unless the party changes course on pensions and energy.

  • On Wednesday, former Prime Minister Sir Tony Blair published a 5,700-word essay warning Labour is 'playing with fire' over the UK's future and lacks a 'coherent plan,' urging the party to return to its 'radical centre' to secure a second term.
  • Blair's intervention targets Energy Secretary Ed Miliband's net zero agenda and welfare spending, which he argued risks exceeding defence costs by decade's end, amid Labour leadership uncertainty and at a moment when the party appears poised to change direction.
  • Citing projections on BBC Radio, Blair said disability and incapacity benefits could reach almost 5 million by decade's end, up from 2.8 million five or six years ago, and called the triple lock on pensions 'no longer affordable' given Britain accounts for under 1% of global emissions.
  • Treasury Minister Dan Tomlinson rejected Blair's welfare critique, saying 'things have moved on' since he left office and pension increases are sustainable, while Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham pledged a 'considered response' on Thursday.
  • The debate extends beyond welfare to national security, with Tomlinson framing net zero as central to UK resilience, while SNP MSP David Linden seized on Blair's remarks to argue Westminster has been 'disastrous for Scotland,' citing 1,000 energy jobs lost monthly.
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Minister rejects Blair’s triple lock warning as ex-PM calls for ‘coherent plan’

Dan Tomlinson said ‘things have moved on’ since the ex-Labour leader was in No 10.

·London, United Kingdom
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  • 46% of the sources lean Left, 46% of the sources are Center
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Western Morning News broke the news in Somerset, United Kingdom on Wednesday, May 27, 2026.
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