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Bitwise wants to list prediction markets ETFs for U.S. elections in 2026 and 2028

  • On Tuesday, Bitwise Asset Management filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission to list two PredictionShares 2028 presidential ETFs, including Democratic and Republican President Wins ETFs.
  • Industry momentum from the 2024 election cycle pushed managers like Bitwise toward prediction ETFs, as new ETF markets have been major revenue drivers in recent years.
  • Platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi would supply market prices, with a 60% market probability implying a Republican ETF near $0.60, ultimately resolving to $1.00 or $0.00.
  • Regulators may scrutinize politically tied products, as GraniteShares and Roundhill have also filed similar prediction ETFs, raising competition and regulatory risks.
  • Roundhill's BETZ reaching $1B highlights potential revenue upside for prediction ETFs, despite the 2028 horizon and binary outcomes that may limit early liquidity, mirroring the crypto ETF pattern.
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Cointelegraph broke the news in on Wednesday, February 18, 2026.
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