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UK's IG Group Bets Big on US Prediction Markets with $1.3 Billion Underdog Deal

The proposal would set a new public-interest test for blocking contracts as firms seek designated contract market status to list event contracts.

  • Binance.US CEO Stephen Gregory announced on Wednesday that the exchange plans to apply for a Commodity Futures Trading Commission designated contract market license next month, expanding into prediction markets.
  • A designated contract market serves as the core authorization for federally regulated exchanges to list futures, options, and event-based contracts under the Commodity Exchange Act, making it the mandatory starting point for firms operating prediction markets in the United States.
  • Binance joins a competitive field that already includes Gemini, Coinbase, Robinhood, Kalshi, and Polymarket, firms that have previously secured CFTC licenses or built clearinghouse joint ventures to capture growing interest in event contracts.
  • The Commodity Futures Trading Commission is rewriting rules that define 'gaming' and determine which contracts are 'contrary to the public interest,' while the agency has sued nine states, including Arizona and New York, to assert exclusive federal jurisdiction.
  • For an industry that raised a combined $25 billion in trading volume across CFTC-registered markets in 2025, regulatory clarity remains critical for institutional traders deciding whether to commit capital across multiple prediction market venues.
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Bloomberg broke the news in New York, United States on Wednesday, July 29, 2026.
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