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Biden-era illegal immigration drove up housing costs, Fed economists find

The paper says a 1% rise in local unauthorized workers lifted home prices 2.2% and rents 1.4% in affected markets.

  • Economists Daniel Wilson of the San Francisco Fed and Xiaoqing Zhou of the Dallas Fed released a Federal Reserve working paper indicating unauthorized immigration drove U.S. housing cost increases from 2021 to 2024.
  • An influx of unauthorized workers equal to 1% of a local workforce raised area home prices by 2.2% and rents by 1.4%, as residential construction failed to expand to absorb demand.
  • The study reports unauthorized immigration explains roughly 30% of total employment growth over that period, showing a 1-to-1 connection between increased illegal immigrant employment in a region and decreased local wages.
  • President Donald Trump cited the research on social media as evidence of unauthorized immigration's economic impact, a topic he has pressed repeatedly throughout his administration.
  • While the study links migration to cost pressures, it noted unauthorized workers remain ineligible for major federal public assistance programs like Medicaid, though figures promoted by the administration appear exaggerated compared to findings.
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Fox Business broke the news in New York, United States on Sunday, July 5, 2026.
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