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BBVA Research Raises GDP Growth Forecast to 2.6% but Alerts Energy Shock: "The Longer It Lasts, the Greater the Impact"

Summary by El Mundo
BBVA Research improves its forecasts for the Spanish economy, although it warns that the energy shock and the surge in inflation can end up hurting growth...

13 Articles

Lean Right

The study service of the bank raises to 2.6% its forecast of growth for this year, but it maintains the advance of 2027 at 2.1%. Energy, interest rates, low productivity, aging and fiscal restrictions appear among the main brakes for the coming years

·Madrid, Spain
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Lean Left

Tension on oil and gas prices will add up to nine tenths to the CPI in Spain and will remain above 3%

·Madrid, Spain
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Lean Right

BBVA Research improves its forecasts for the Spanish economy, although it warns that the energy shock and the surge in inflation can end up hurting growth...

·Madrid, Spain
Read Full Article
laprovincia.eslaprovincia.es
+4 Reposted by 4 other sources

The energy crisis will be the cornerstone of Spain's growth in 2027. A report by BBVA Research notes that "The increase in the cost of oil and gas could subtract between 0.4 and 0.5 percentage points from the increase in GDP and add between 0.8 and 0.9 percentage points to inflation in Spain until the end of 2027. Its forecasts point to inflation in Spain of 3.6% in 2026 and 3.2% in 2027."

Forbes EspañaForbes España
+4 Reposted by 4 other sources

BBVA Research has raised two tenths, to 2.6%, its forecast for the Spanish Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and foresees a moderation of growth to 2.1% next year – unchanged from the previous estimate – after warning that the increase in energy costs and the tightening of financial conditions [...] The BBVA Research entry raises to 2.6% its forecast of GDP for 2026, but alert of the rise of oil and gas appears first in Forbes Spain.

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  • 67% of the sources lean Right
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El Mundo broke the news in Madrid, Spain on Wednesday, October 7, 2026.
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