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NASA Upgrades, Then Lowers Odds Of Asteroid Hitting Earth — Here’s Why

  • Asteroid 2024 YR4 initially had a 1 in 32 chance of hitting Earth, which was subsequently reduced to 1 in 67, according to NASA's Center for Near-Earth Object Studies.
  • NASA expects the impact probability of YR4 to eventually reach 0% as more data clarifies its trajectory.
  • Professor Richard Binzel noted that the uncertainty in tracking the asteroid contributes to fluctuating probability estimates.
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fanpage.it broke the news in on Wednesday, February 19, 2025.
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