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Here’s How Many Foldable iPhones IDC Expects Apple to Ship

IDC says Apple’s first foldable could boost shipments above 10 million units as the premium model enters a market facing a 16.7% decline.

  • IDC predicts Apple's first foldable will ship more than 10 million units in its first year at $2,500, reviving a category otherwise heading for a double-digit decline.
  • Samsung has dominated the foldable category for seven years, but IDC now forecasts 12.6% growth this year and 18% next year, with Apple projected to capture 40% of shipments by 2027.
  • Samsung's Fold8 Ultra starts at $2,099, positioning Apple's entry roughly $400 higher; The Galaxy scores class A on battery cycles while Apple matches it only on repairability.
  • In Europe, Apple must display energy labels grading the foldable's repairability and drop survival under Regulation 2023/1670, with durability scores published on the device's announcement day.
  • The broader smartphone market faces a record 16.7% decline this year due to memory shortages, yet Nabila Popal, IDC senior research director, expects the foldable to be "widely successful" despite its premium price.
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How Many $2,500 Foldable iPhones Will Apple Ship In Year One? IDC Has The Answer

ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero

·Sofia, Bulgaria
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Apple is expected to announce its first foldable iPhone, tentatively named the "iPhone Ultra," at its September 10, 2026, event. Industry analysts predict that this iPhone Ultra will ship over 10 million units in its first year of release. Read more...

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Bloomberg broke the news in New York, United States on Wednesday, August 26, 2026.
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