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Anthropic IPO valuation hinges on $190-200 billion 2028 revenue forecast: Reuters

Bankers and investors are using forecast multiples as Anthropic’s revenue run rate jumped to more than $47 billion and margins remain under pressure.

  • Investors are modeling an IPO valuation above $2 trillion for Anthropic, with some scenarios stretching as high as $3 trillion for the five-year-old maker of Claude.
  • The valuation hinges on projected 2028 revenue of roughly $190 billion to $200 billion, a figure that far exceeds the $47 billion revenue run rate Anthropic publicized in May.
  • Anthropic is reportedly in early talks to acquire Israeli startup Decart for $6 billion, a price 50% higher than the company's May valuation of nearly $4 billion.
  • Decart's software helps chips run more efficiently, which could reduce Anthropic's infrastructure costs and lower the expense of serving individual Claude requests without purchasing additional hardware.
  • David Merkel, a principal at investment firm Aleph Investments, questioned whether AI productivity justifies such valuations, noting the market is entertaining prices once reserved for industrial empires.
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Anthropic has set a revenue target of $200 billion by 2028 ahead of its IPO. Due to massive infrastructure costs, it has adopted a valuation method that reflects future growth potential, and is receiving high market expectations as revenue has grown more than fivefold over the past five months.

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Fortune broke the news in New York, United States on Friday, August 14, 2026.
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