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The Tightest Race in Years: Predictions for the 98th Academy Awards

Megan Camponovo highlights a tight race with frontrunners like Paul Thomas Anderson and Michael B. Jordan, reflecting 2025's strong theatrical film year.

  • Predicting winners for the 98th Academy Awards, Megan Camponovo published category-by-category predictions this Sunday.
  • Precursor awards and a late controversy shifted frontrunner odds, including Chalamet's BAFTA loss and Michael B. Jordan's Actor Awards victory, making the race unusually tight.
  • Predicting winners across acting and directing categories, Camponovo names Paul Thomas Anderson for One Battle After Another, and Sean Penn as the Best Supporting Actor frontrunner, based on precursor momentum.
  • The ceremony, hosted by Conan O'Brien, begins at 7 p.m. ET, broadcast live on ABC and Hulu, with wins possibly marking career milestones like PTA's first Oscar or Penn tying a record.
  • With 11 record-shared categories between two films, Camponovo predicts the correlation between Best Picture and screenplay, and that Francine Maisler wins Best Casting.
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Ahn Hyo-seop Also Heads to the Official Academy Awards... Departing for LA Tomorrow, the 14th. Sports Chosun Reporter Moon Ji-yeon. Actor Ahn Hyo-seop is departing to attend the Academy Awards. An official from Ahn Hyo-seop's agency, The Present Company, told Sports Chosun on the 13th that Ahn Hyo-seop will be at the Dolby Theatre in Hollywood, Los Angeles, USA, on the 16th (Korean time).

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On March 15th, the Oscars will be presented for the 98th time. But who are the favourites at the festive award ceremony in Los Angeles? We dare a forecast in the most important categories.

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The tightest race in years: Predictions for the 98th Academy Awards

While there are still many questions to be answered on Sunday, here is what we predict will be winning awards on the movies' biggest night.

·Sacramento, United States
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InsideHook broke the news in on Thursday, March 12, 2026.
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