After the Inflation Figures, All Eyes Are on the Central Bank of Turkey: Expectations of an Interest Rate Cut Have Strengthened.
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While annual inflation in Türkiye fell below 30% for the first time in five years, Citi made a noteworthy prediction. The bank expects inflation to end the year back at around 30%, and forecasts a 100 basis point interest rate cut at the Central Bank of Turkey's (TCMB) meeting on October 22nd.
Following the decline in annual inflation to 29.73%, the policy rate/CPI spread widened above 7 basis points. Market expectations for an interest rate cut increased. Recent reports from 7 institutions indicate that the Central Bank of Turkey (TCMB) may implement at least a 100 basis point interest rate cut at its Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting on October 22nd. While energy prices are cited as the main risk, some institutions shared expe…
The probability of a decline in the core rate in Turkey in October increased after the publication of more favourable than expected inflation data for September, RIA stated 06.10.2026, PRIM
On the Economy Desk, the topics discussed included the Central Bank of Turkey's interest rate decision on October 22nd following the drop in September inflation below 30%, new regulations in the fund crisis, sharp divergence in investment instruments, and the Central Bank...
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