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Americans in 1998 tried to predict 2025. Here's what they got right
A 1998 poll of 1,055 Americans predicted social changes including a Black president and legalized gay marriage, with 61% expecting people to live to 100 years old.
- Gallup and USA Today revisited a 1998 poll of 1,055 Americans by calling household landlines about predictions for 2025 as Dec 31, 2025 approaches.
- In 1998, amid President Bill Clinton's impeachment and 'Titanic' Oscar wins, respondents imagined a future with a Black president, common gay marriage, and a deadly new disease.
- A majority recorded specific high hopes and fears, noting more than half expected a cancer cure, 61% anticipated 100-year lifespans, nearly 8 in 10 foresaw less privacy, 57% less freedom, and 71% harder child-rearing.
- The retrospective finds a mix of hits and misses, noting Americans in 1998 correctly doubted space travel and alien contact would be common by 2025.
- Long-Term trends suggest public mood has shifted, with about 60% satisfied in fall 1998 and only 24% today, reflecting growing economic divides.
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25 Articles
Coverage Details
Total News Sources25
Leaning Left0Leaning Right0Center25Last UpdatedBias Distribution100% Center
Bias Distribution
- 100% of the sources are Center
100% Center
C 100%
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