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Nobel Economists Warn: AI's Productivity Payoff Falls Far Short of the Hype

Pissarides said AI may lift output, but he sees no sign it will deliver the productivity surge needed to revive fast growth.

  • On Monday, Nobel Prize-winning London School of Economics professor Christopher Pissarides warned that artificial intelligence will likely fail to restore rapid Western economic growth, cautioning that fast productivity gains may be over.
  • Tech industry leaders, including Nvidia's Jensen Huang and OpenAI's Sam Altman, have pinned hopes on AI reviving growth, but Pissarides questioned whether the technology can replicate the personal-computing boom of the late 20th century.
  • Pissarides noted that up to 40 per cent of jobs, particularly in nursing and hospitality, remain unexposed to AI, limiting potential productivity gains across key economic sectors.
  • Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey remains more optimistic, suggesting AI may "ride to the rescue," though he acknowledged it will take time for the technology to feed through into growth figures.
  • Sceptics draw comparisons to the dot-com bubble, warning that tools often churn out corporate "workslop" rather than genuine output, leaving many firms yet to see measurable returns from AI spending.
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A Nobel Prize winner for Economics anticipates that artificial intelligence (AI) will not bring Western economies back to the fast-growing era of productivity, which may have disappeared forever.

·Romania
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Business Insider (Spain) broke the news on Tuesday, July 7, 2026.
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