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ADB cuts growth forecast to 3.7%

  • On Thursday, the Asian Development Bank maintained Pakistan's economic growth forecast at 3.7% for the current fiscal year while revising inflation projections upward to 8.3%.
  • Prolonged disruptions to global energy markets caused by the Middle East conflict continue to weigh on regional economic prospects, according to the ADB's latest Asian Development Outlook released on Thursday.
  • Pakistan's 8.3% inflation forecast ranks second highest in the region after Bangladesh's 8.8%, indicating the country faces greater economic challenges than Afghanistan, Bhutan, and Nepal.
  • The ADB warned that Pakistan is among 60 nations facing 10% to 12.5% additional United States tariffs starting July 24 following trade investigations by the USTR.
  • A Pakistani delegation is currently in the United States to broker a deal to avoid these charges, as public hearings regarding the trade investigations are scheduled for 7-15 July 2026.
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islandsbusiness.com broke the news on Thursday, July 9, 2026.
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