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A piece of a SpaceX rocket is about to hit the moon

Astronomers expect the 45-foot stage to create a 66-to-98-foot crater and a dust plume they may track from Earth.

  • A 45-foot upper stage of a SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket, launched in January 2025, is set to crash into the Moon near Einstein crater on August 5, 2026, traveling at about 2 to 2.43 km/s and creating a 20 to 30 meter-wide crater.
  • The impact will eject lunar dust and debris, potentially observable by lunar orbiters and possibly telescopes on Earth, though visibility remains uncertain.
  • The rocket stage remained in unstable Earth orbit after delivering two lunar landers and lacked fuel to alter its trajectory, resulting in an eventual collision with the Moon due to gravitational forces.
  • The event presents an opportunity to study crater formation and ejecta dynamics, while raising concerns about space debris management and gaps in international lunar environmental governance.
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The Conversation broke the news in Boston, United States on Monday, July 27, 2026.
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