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A glimpse of what Australia will look like in 2066

Treasury says migration will keep population growth going as the workforce ages and long-run budget deficits widen without higher productivity.

  • On Monday, Treasurer Jim Chalmers released the latest Intergenerational Report, predicting Australia will experience four decades of "remarkable change" driven by artificial intelligence, an ageing population, and energy transition.
  • The Australian Treasury identifies five major transitions expected to reshape the economy, including geopolitical fragmentation and the AI revolution, as annual growth slows to 2% over the next 40 years from 3% previously.
  • Deaths are projected to outnumber births by the 2060s as the fertility rate falls to 1.34 by 2065-66, though Australia's population will still reach 39.3 million, driven by overseas migration.
  • Rising demand for health and aged care will drive government spending to 27.7% of GDP by the mid-2060s, creating structural budget pressures that demand long-term policy reforms.
  • While the report describes AI as "a defining influence" on Australia's future prosperity, Coinbase Australia noted it overlooks essential digital financial infrastructure needed for agentic systems.
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Sydney Morning Herald broke the news in North Sydney, Australia on Monday, September 21, 2026.
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