NASA Updates Moon Impact Risk for Asteroid 2024 YR4 to 3.8%
- Asteroid 2024 YR4, first detected in December 2024, now has a near-zero chance of hitting Earth, according to NASA's update.
- The asteroid's chance of striking the Moon on December 22, 2032, has increased to 3.8%, based on data from the James Webb Space Telescope.
- If the asteroid impacts the Moon, it would not alter its orbit, but could scatter debris that might threaten human space operations.
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Remember Asteroid 2024 YR4? -- A New Update on Possible Lunar Impact
About that space rock that looked for a few weeks earlier this year like it might have a non-negligible chance of colliding with the Earth on a return visit in 2032 — even though such a potentially devastating event has been ruled out to a 5-sigma*...
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R 26%
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