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B.C. Report Models 9.0 Megathrust Quake Causing 3,400 Deaths and $128 Billion Damage
The modeled 9.0 magnitude quake could cause over 3,400 deaths, extensive damage to 28,000 buildings, and $128 billion in costs, with a 2-10% chance within 30 years, B.C. government said.
- On Dec. 29, 2025, the British Columbia government warned a magnitude 9.0 earthquake off Vancouver Island could cause over 3,400 deaths, 10,000 injuries, and $128 billion in damage.
- The report links the threat to the Cascadia fault and pegs the odds of a magnitude 9.0 quake occurring in 30 years between two to 10 per cent, last ruptured in 1700.
- Simulations show tsunamis could reach Vancouver Island's west coast in 10 to 20 minutes and the Lower Mainland in 30 to 60 minutes, with heaviest damage near Vancouver, Edwin Nissen said.
- Minutes after the quake, thousands are dead or injured and then struck by tsunami, aftershocks and chaos as survivors overwhelm hospitals and road and rail links fail, causing shortages.
- Officials warn the provincial economy could see growth halved with GDP and job losses stretching over the decade, and experts stress emergency reports are needed regularly since it could happen any time.
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9.0 quake in B.C. could kill thousands and cost $128 billion, report foresees
Minutes after a massive 9.0 magnitude earthquake strikes off Vancouver Island one summer's day, thousands of British Columbians are dead or injured in the wreckage - then comes the tsunami, aftershocks and chaos. Distraught survivors overwhelm hospitals as they search for loved ones. Road and rail l...
·Kelowna, Canada
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9.0 quake in B.C. would kill thousands and cost $128 billion, report foresees
VICTORIA — A British Columbia government report foresees more than 3,400 fatalities and more than 10,000 injuries if an earthquake with a magnitude of 9.0 strikes off Vancouver Island.
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Total News Sources42
Leaning Left24Leaning Right1Center5Last UpdatedBias Distribution80% Left
Bias Distribution
- 80% of the sources lean Left
80% Left
L 80%
C 17%
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