Democrats make sharp gains among Latino voters in battleground districts: Poll
A Hart Research/TelevisaUnivision survey found Democrats leading 58%-35% on the generic ballot, with 11% of 2024 Trump Latino voters now backing Democrats.
- A new Hart Research/TelevisaUnivision poll of 1,500 registered voters across 17 battleground districts shows Democrats opening a 58%-35% lead on the generic congressional ballot among Latino voters. The survey, conducted August 6-17, marks a significant shift in electoral dynamics.
- President Trump previously narrowed the partisan gap among Latinos in 2024, creating the most diverse Republican coalition in decades; his approval ratings have since eroded, with 63% of Latino voters in these districts now disapproving of his job performance.
- In three Texas congressional districts, Latino support shifted from a 44-44 split in 2024 to 56-36 for Democrats today. Florida saw a comparable shift, with two swing districts moving from Trump +1 to Democrat +13.
- TelevisaUnivision Senior Vice President Kate Coleman said Latino voters are "paying close attention and making decisions based on who shows up for them." Aileen Cardona-Arroyo, partner at Hart Research, noted Spanish-language media remains critical for engagement.
- Nearly 11% of Latino voters who backed Trump in 2024 now support Democratic congressional candidates, signaling voter defection. ICE faces a 64% unfavorable rating among these voters, complicating Republicans' efforts to maintain their previous coalition.
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Hart Research Poll: Dems Regain Latino Support in Battleground House Districts
According to a poll released Tuesday that suggests some of President Donald Trump's gains in the 2024 election have eroded ahead of November's midterms, Democrats have rebuilt a substantial advantage among Latino voters in competitive House districts.
The pendulum swung back. Republican support among Hispanics is falling Donald Trump's historic breakthrough among Latinos in the 2024 elections does not seem to have turned into a sustained partisan shift
The pendulum swung backRepublican support among Hispanics is fallingDonald Trump's historic breakthrough among Latinos in the 2024 elections does not seem to have turned into a sustained partisan shift.According to a survey by Hart...
Axios: Dems Have “Gained Sharply” Among Latinos
Axios reports: Democrats have gained sharply with Latino voters in some of the country’s most competitive House districts since 2024, a new Hart Research/TelevisaUnivision poll shared exclusively with Axios shows. President Trump came close to erasing Democrats’ longtime advantage among Latinos in the last presidential election. Now, with control of Congress at stake and Trump’s approval ratings hitting new lows, that breakthrough appears to hav…
GOP’s Gains Among Latinos Fade in House Battlegrounds
“Democrats have gained sharply with Latino voters in some of the country’s most competitive House districts since 2024, a new Hart Research/TelevisaUnivision poll shared exclusively with Axios shows,” Axios reports. “President Trump came close to erasing Democrats’ longtime advantage among Latinos in the last presidential election. Now, with control of Congress at stake and Trump’s […]
GOP's gains among Latinos fade in House battlegrounds
Data: Hart Research/TelevisaUnivision; Table: Russell Contreras/AxiosDemocrats have gained sharply with Latino voters in some of the country's most competitive House districts since 2024, a new Hart Research/TelevisaUnivision poll shared exclusively with Axios shows.Why it matters: President Trump came close to erasing Democrats' longtime advantage among Latinos in the last presidential election. Now, with control of Congress at stake and Trump'…
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