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Oil Prices Are Falling and Stocks Are up. Traders Worry They’ve Gone Too Far

WTI fell nearly 10% on the week as tanker traffic is expected to resume, while traders warn the rally may be overdone.

  • On Thursday, oil tankers began moving through the Strait of Hormuz after President Donald Trump signed a 60-day ceasefire memorandum with Iran on Wednesday, easing global supply concerns.
  • A US blockade of the waterway, which usually handles 20 million barrels of oil daily, had paralyzed shipping and sent prices soaring since late February, prompting the diplomatic breakthrough.
  • Shipping experts at BIMCO warn the central channel remains "mined and un-navigable," while data from Vortexa shows 40 tankers carrying 80 million barrels are preparing to transit.
  • Markets responded positively Friday, with WTI crude settling down 10% on the week while Japanese and South Korean stock indices surged as inflation fears receded.
  • Analysts like Madison Cartwright of Commonwealth Bank warn the peace remains fragile, as toll-free transit is guaranteed for only 60 days before potential tolls or conflict arise.
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40 supertankers with almost 80 million barrels of oil are waiting in the Persian Gulf for the passage through the Strait of Hormuz. But whether the passage can actually be safely and reliably used again is still open.

·Vienna, Austria
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Eurasia Business News broke the news on Thursday, June 18, 2026.
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