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U.S. nonfarm payrolls increase by 29,000 in September, less than expected; unemployment rises to 4.2%

Hiring slowed sharply as prior months were revised down by 60,000 jobs and average hourly earnings rose just 3% from a year earlier.

  • On October 2, 2026, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported U.S. employers added just 29,000 jobs in September, missing forecasts of 90,000. The unemployment rate rose to 4.2%, and payrolls for July and August were revised down by a combined 60,000 jobs.
  • Economists described a persistent 'low-hire, low-fire' labor market where companies avoid layoffs while significantly reducing new hiring. This environment explains why September payrolls missed the 90,000-job expectation despite stable employment for existing workers.
  • Health care added 17,000 jobs in September, while the financial sector shed 7,000, illustrating sectoral divergence. Average hourly earnings rose 3% over the past year, failing to keep pace with inflation pressuring household budgets.
  • Treasury yields fell to 5.17% on Friday, while the CME FedWatch tool showed odds for an October Federal Reserve rate hike dropped to 17%. Markets priced in expectations that policymakers will hold rates steady.
  • With midterm elections approaching on November 3, the report arrives amid public anxiety over job security. The Conference Board reported consumer confidence recently fell to a ten-year low, reflecting widespread concerns about employment stability and living costs.
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Business Insider broke the news in New York, United States on Thursday, October 1, 2026.
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