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Five Forecasts Early Climate Models Got Right—the Evidence Is All Around You

Manabe's 1967 models predicted a 3°C warming from doubled CO2, closely matching observed 1.2°C rise so far, confirming their accuracy and climate sensitivity estimates.

Summary by Phys.org
Climate models are complex, just like the world they mirror. They simultaneously simulate the interacting, chaotic flow of Earth's atmosphere and oceans, and they run on the world's largest supercomputers.

Bias Distribution

  • 75% of the sources are Center
75% Center

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The Conversation broke the news in on Wednesday, September 3, 2025.
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