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Could the Earthquake Swarm in Istanbul Trigger a Major Earthquake? Prof. Dr. Hasan Sözbilir Explains.

Summary by Cumhuriyet
Following 185 seismic earthquakes centered in the Marmara Sea over three days in Istanbul, experts have assessed the current situation and the risk of a major earthquake. Prof. Dr. Hasan Sözbilir, Director of the DEU Earthquake Research and Application Center, stated that these earthquakes occurred not on the main locked Adalar Fault, but on its tributary branches.

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Following 185 seismic earthquakes centered in the Marmara Sea over three days in Istanbul, experts have assessed the current situation and the risk of a major earthquake. Prof. Dr. Hasan Sözbilir, Director of the DEU Earthquake Research and Application Center, stated that these earthquakes occurred not on the main locked Adalar Fault, but on its tributary branches.

·Istanbul, Türkiye
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Lean Left

Experts from Dokuz Eylül University have determined that the 185 earthquakes recorded in the Marmara Sea between August 18-20 occurred on branches of the Adalar Fault, not directly on the locked fault. The experts concluded that this is not a harbinger of a major earthquake, but rather part of the century-long seismic activity in the region.

·Türkiye
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Prof. Dr. Şener Üşümezsoy argued that the recent earthquakes in the Marmara Sea occurred on young faults. “The Islands Fault is like the Great Wall of China, an outer wall. The earthquake won't happen there, it will happen in Düzce,” he said.

Following 185 seismic earthquakes centered in the Marmara Sea over three days in Istanbul, experts have assessed the current situation and the risk of a major earthquake.

A study examining 185 earthquakes that occurred in the Marmara Sea between August 18-20 determined that the tremors did not originate directly on the Adalar Fault, but rather from seismic activity developing on the branches of the Adalar Fault. Experts stated that this activity is in the nature of an "earthquake storm" and that a definitive assessment of whether a major earthquake will occur after these tremors cannot be made.

Haber 7 - Prof. Dr. Hasan Sözbilir made a statement regarding the 185 earthquakes that occurred in the Marmara Sea between August 18-20. Sözbilir said, "The sequence of earthquakes of a certain magnitude did not occur directly on the Islands Fault."

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Sözcü broke the news in Türkiye on Sunday, August 30, 2026.
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