Bitwise CIO Makes a Straightforward Case for $1 Million Bitcoin
Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan projects bitcoin could reach $1 million in about 10 years if the store-of-value market grows from $38 trillion to $121 trillion, capturing 17% share.
- On Tuesday, Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan shared a memo projecting bitcoin could reach $1 million within 10 years and acknowledged the target sounds implausible.
- Hougan argued the core error is using static math for a moving market, telling Sherwood News the store-of-value market grows over time but investors anchor to today's size.
- His framework starts with estimating the store-of-value market, estimates bitcoin's share and divides the implied market cap by 21 million to get a per-coin price; Hougan estimates the market could reach about $38 trillion, requiring a 17% share to reach $1 million.
- Market watchers note bitcoin remains near $70,000 on Wednesday as ETF flows stay positive and higher lows suggest buyers may be in control.
- Looking longer term, Hougan warned the outcome is not guaranteed as gold's market grew from roughly $2.5 trillion in 2004 to nearly $40 trillion today.
16 Articles
16 Articles
$1M Bitcoin 'Sounds Crazy,' but Bitwise CIO Says the Math Points Higher
Bitcoin could reach $1 million if it captures roughly 17% of a projected $121 trillion global store-of-value market, according to Matt Hougan, chief investment officer at Bitwise Asset Management. In a recent memo, he explained how long-term market expansion could support significantly higher prices for the digital asset. Math Behind The Target Hougan said the idea initially appears unrealistic because a $1 million valuation would require Bitcoi…
Bitwise CIO Predicts $1 Million Bitcoin Within a Decade
Bitwise Asset Management’s chief investment officer, Matt Hougan, is making a compelling case for Bitcoin’s potential to reach $1 million per coin within a decade, challenging conventional wisdom and sparking debate within the investment community. His argument hinges on a nuanced interpretation of Bitcoin’s role as a store of value and its potential to capture a significant share of the broader… Source
Bitcoin Down 44% From Its Peak, But Bitwise Still Sees A Path To $1 Million
Central banks aren’t buying it. Billionaire investor Ray Dalio doesn’t trust it as a safe haven. And Bitcoin is trading 44% below its October peak while gold sits near all-time highs. That’s the backdrop against which Bitwise Asset Management’s chief investment officer is making the case that Bitcoin could still reach $1 million a coin within a decade. A Different Way To Run The Numbers Most people who shoot down the $1 million forecast do so by…
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